Sunday, January 14, 2018

The GRUNCH of Giants, R

A FB article written by my friend Jackson Yeow which I thought was worthwhile sharing with my friends.

The GRUNCH of Giants,
by R Buckminster Fuller.

Written in 1981, against the backdrop of the cold war between USA and the USSR, whence the latter attained an alarming multi-to-one ratio in their traditional air, army and navy forces against their counterpart, and where the former was busy researching and mass producing atomic warheads to deter their "enemies" and establish their weaponry superiority, and with the USSR also chasing behind with not only an equally earth-shattering number of atomic warheads but also precise geodetic data of each critical US target, this 64 paged book, 3 hour read, written by Buckminster Fuller brings the world a whole new perspective that for the first time in human history we have the technological knowhow to drastically improve each single human's standard of living to a never before imagined comfort level, all supported by the abundance of Mother Earth's resources. That is, if we do not commit race suicide by "pressing the button" first.

75,000 people, or one stadium-full of people – that was the amount of casualties directly impacted by the first atomic bomb ever unleashed onto humanity, in Japan. The mere thought of that is extremely cruel and excruciatingly painful and saddening. Yet, more than 75,000 people starve to death on Earth EACH DAY despite an abundance of food and food wastage. Such is the ridiculous irony of some of humanity, to be so egoic as to push forward with ever more nuclear warheads by "robbing" its citizens of their past, current and future taxes and livingry benefits and pumping that same amount into weaponry. All that was achieved was to accumulate ever more power at an ever increasing rate to end all of humanity in one hour.

Bucky proclaimed repeatedly that if humanity did not commit race suicide by "pressing the button" first, that this second humanity-threatening issue of starvation is easily solvable, except there are giants blocking the path of an one-race human evolution. The GRUNCH of Giants, or GRoss UNiverse Cash Heist by Giants, literally refers to the unnamed, unseen, unbeknownst and nonhumane cross-countries corporations which have over the centuries perfected their capitalism knowhow to usurp more and more power for their own interests and robbing its citizens in broad daylight.

Dr Buckminster Fuller goes on to condense 30,000 years of human history into a couple of chapters including explaining amongst many things why humanity came to accept a home as "property", land as "real estate" in the sense of "real" as in "royalty", how the East India company came to formation, how the current banking system started way back in the days, how humans from Southeast Asia arrived by rafts on the western shores of current day North America and South America via the seemingly out-of-mind Polynesia-Japan Current-North America route, how the Morgan corporation stood to profit from World War I and eventually grew to become one of the Giants GRUNCH-ing its own citizens through a cleverly design scheme now known as inflation, which really means deflation of the dollar's buying power.

My biggest takeaway is the excerpt of Henry Ford Senior, the founder of the Ford company, where Bucky claims the great man had an inspiring proposition to "make sense" in his original mission to empower farmers to transport their goods in a faster manner, and fought hard to buy back the company's shares at great economic costs from its financial backers who were pushing Ford to "make profits". Whereas the founder ensured every economic success and profits went directly into upgrading with better equipment and manufacturing ever higher quality vehicles at more affordable prices, his successor-son and grandson completely lost sight of his original mission and sought after "making more profits" in the company's later years. "Making sense" and "making profits", Bucky wrote, was mutually exclusive. I contemplated on that for a long while, and thought about how businesses can strike a balance between the two mutually exclusive ends. Bucky reminded that the Giants are much like the later-years Ford – all for "making profits", whereas he also specifically shared his opinion that Japanese companies have stayed true to their roots of adding value to humanity, seemingly "making sense" while "making some profits", I am heartened to know I am guided along Bucky's path.

This book is full of critical historical insights and is an inspiration for humanity to think and act from a larger perspective and from a higher point. Be forewarned – Once you start reading, you may find it hard to stop for our dear Bucky has written in an absolutely engaging time-leaping manner where each sentence is turbo-charged and heavily weighted – your brains might be bonged out of its current vibrations. It certainly inspired me to read his other books, Critical Path and Operating Manual for Spaceship Earth.

with love,
Jackson Yeow

P.S. i hope you enjoy reading this as much as i did, enjoy your weekend! :) <3 _/|\_

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Quote

Predicting rain doesn't count, building an ark does...

Thursday, June 10, 2010

Quote

你赢, 我赢, 他赢, 大家赢方能赢天下!

Saturday, August 1, 2009

Hand-over of Funds to another trader

As communicated verbally to all stake-holders, our chief trader has reset his life priorities and moved on to focus on other area of interests. We wish him well.

The existing funds have been transferred to Victor who is more experienced and very capable in option+share trading strategies. We are confident he will do well and will achieve the funds' goal. He will communicate with you all directly going forward.

Wednesday, July 1, 2009

Funds Status as of 1-Jul-09

Zero to minimal trades since last update. Chief trader tied up with personal matters. Sorry. Will try to catch up later or close out the funds.

Fund C
No trades for Fund C.
Net Asset = $21,027.
Cash On-hand = $22,477.






Fund D
No major trades for Fund D.
Net Asset = $102,615.
Cash On-hand = $102,615.
Zero positions...100% in cash.

Monday, June 22, 2009

FINAL RESULT on Citi arbitrage (Free Money)

FINAL RESULT on the arbitrage position for C (opened in 15-Apr with expiry date on 19-Jun). A total cummulative of 6,000 positions were created.

AVERAGE PRICE
Short Sell 6,000 C at $3.89
Sell 60x Jun-PUT-Strike-$5 at $2.16
Buy 60x Jun-CALL-Strike-$5 at $0.43
Net cash collected is $5.62 ( i.e. 3.89 + 2.16 - 0.43 ) per share. PUT option was assigned on end of day 19-Jun at $5.00.
Gross target profit was $0.62 x 6,000 = $3,720 (commission already net off except interest cost on short-sell).
Accrued interest is $1,132.
FINAL net profit (free money) realised is $2,588 ($3720 - $1132).

Interest charge on shorting C (borrowing shares) was $1,132 / (6000 * $3.89) = 4.85% for about 2 months. Seem very high... an annual equivalent rate of 29.1% ! Need to check on this. I thought it was 9% annual rate.

Fund D account net balance as of now is $102,860.

Wednesday, June 17, 2009

FINAL RESULT for QQQQ Butterfly (opened 15-May)

Original view was the Nasdaq already had a good run. Expect it to consolidate and stabilize around $33. At point of entry the risk/reward ratio was good (max potential gain was 200%). However, the tech bull continue to run and we lost.

Due to personal matter, have no access to trading account for 9 days. The exit criteria has surfaced several days ago but was not around to close it. Closed the QQQQ position today and lost about 69%. If closed earlier as planned the lost will be limited to less than 50%.

Manually closed the 3 legs one by one instead of using the Combo trade as the combo BUY/SELL spread is wide.

Bought the butterfly combo at $0.488 (i.e. 1.665 + 0.330 - 0.753x2) per contract.

Sold the combo at $0.150 (i.e. 0.01 + 0.18 - 0.02x2) per contract.
Loss is $0.338 per contract, i.e. 69% of original value.

Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Monthly Statement Fund C & D 1-Jun-09

Continue to cut losses on Tech stocks PUT positions... as Tech stocks continue to rally. All technical analysis pointed towards a bull market with MA-20 and MA-50 crosses stock price. Fund D had net losses. Fund C has some slight gain as the 2-year insurance PUT bets (PUTs sold on Citi) continue to gain in value due to significant decay in volatility value.

Have been out of country most of the time about 4 to 5 days each week in May. Several positions were under managed.

Fund C
Net Asset = $20,897.
Cash On-hand = $22,487.


Fund D
Net Asset = $103,745.
Cash On-hand = $135,229.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Open a Butterfly PUTs combo on QQQQ on 15-May-09

QQQQ was at $33.50. Placed order for 10 contracts on Butterfly PUTs combo 19-June at strike 31, 33 and 35 for $0.49.

Total cost is $490. Potential max loss is $490 and max gain is $1,510 approx.

i.e.
Buy 10x Jun-PUT-Strike-$31 (@ $2.16)
Sell 20x Jun-PUT-Strike-$33 (@ $1.08)
Buy 10x Jun-PUT-Strike-$35 (@ $0.49)
(Butterfly combo is always at a ratio of 1:2:1).

If at expiry QQQQ is below $31 or above $35, max loss is at $0.49.
If QQQQ is between $31 and $35, there is some amount of Gross Profit. After minus cost of $0.49, to have Net Profit the break even points are QQQQ at >$31.49 or <$34.51.
Max potential profit is when QQQQ is centre at $33 which gives $1.51.


Position management.
Normally do not hold until expiry. Take profit when it is reasonable amount (e.g. 100%) or to consider cut loss when it skew towards $31 or below.
Also consider to close positions if price of Middle Leg drops to $0.25 or lower OR if its time premium left drops to $0.125.

At expiry, if QQQQ is above $35, no action needed and all PUTs expire worhtless and we will lose max amount $490. But if it is below $35, some of the PUTs (31, 33 and 35) will get exercised. Which is the reason why we prefer to close out the positions before expiry.

Summary : we are expecting QQQQ to stay within the range of $31 to $35 from now until 19-Jun and volatility to reduce or stay flat. (QQQQ is NASDAQ-100 ETF).

Saturday, May 9, 2009

Vesak Day 09-May-09

To stay calm as water when one is at the trading desk.....
No greed no fear, just a desire to win the game.



Friday, May 1, 2009

Monthly Statement Fund C & D 1-May-09

Volatility continue to drop in Apr. Have been focusing on Bank stocks and volatility play for the past few months. Switched to mainly tech stock play expecting them not to do well in general. But fund houses have been switching their weighting to Tech stocks some of which still have plenty of cash and no toxic assets like the financial stocks. It was like facing the train's headlights head-on.

Fund C
Net Asset = $19,847.
Cash On-hand = $22,497.


Fund D
Net Asset = $111,262.
Cash On-hand = $134,899.

Monday, April 20, 2009

How much margin is needed to short shares ?

Account used is from Interactive Broker.

Shorted 5,000 shares of BAC at $9.02 (SELL) i.e. about $45,100.

Maintenance Margin shown is about $25,000.

So margin is about 55.4% (i.e. 25,000 / 45,100), seems quite high.

Put in place Stop Loss order at $9.20 and Take Profit Limit order at $8.80 (target profit is $1,000).

Within a short few minutes, the position was positive in the money. Manually adjust Stop Loss order tighter from $9.20 to $8.89 to protect profit.

Wanted to sleep soon. so continue to manually tigthen Stop Loss gradually and it got triggered and closed out at $8.86 (BUY). Collected profit $760.50.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Added another 1,000 C "free money" position


The price divergence for C is still there today. Checked with Broker website and they still have 600,000 shares available for shorting.

Price divergence is at $0.76, still looks attractive. Gone ahead and added another 1,000 position so total position is now 3,000. Target free money is around $2,163 ( i.e. 3,000 x $0.721 ).

AVERAGE PRICE
Short Sell 3,000 C at $3.855
Sell 30x Jun-PUT-Strike-$5 at $2.403
Buy 30x Jun-CALL-Strike-$5 at $0.537
Net cash collected is $5.721 ( i.e. 3.855 + 2.403 - 0.537 ) per share.

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Free money through Citi shares Reverse Conversion

Price divergence on C still here today. The potential gain per share has dropped to $0.73 as compared to yesterday's $0.90.

Today the Broker has 1.3M C shares available for shorts. Gone ahead to create a small position on this.







AVERAGE PRICE
Short Sell 2,000 C at $3.75
Sell 20x Jun-PUT-Strike-$5 at $2.46
Buy 20x Jun-CALL-Strike-$5 at $0.48
Net cash collected is $5.73 ( i.e. 3.75 + 2.46 - 0.48 ) per share.

If no major events occur, by expiry Jun we will buy back C share at $5 to cover back the Shorts and gain a net $0.73 profit per share. It's like converting the Share (sell at $5.73) into Option (to buy back share at $5.00), a reversion conversion.

For those people who own C shares, it is easier as they need not Short Sell but just to sell their C shares. And by expiry June, they can get back their C share at $5 and keep the $0.73 per share profit.

A) BY EXPIRY JUNE - OK

1) if C > $5, we exercise our CALL option to buy C at $5 to cover the Short Sell. The PUT option expires worthless.

2) if C < $5, we are oblighted by the sold PUT & assigned the C shares at $5. The CALL option expires worthless.

3) if C = $5, assign or exercise price is same as market price. Likely both options expire worthless and we buy C from open market to cover the Short Sell.

B) OPEN POSITIONS MANAGEMENT FROM NOW TILL EXPIRY JUNE


1. If C > $5, no action needed. The CALL option provided us the right to buy C at $5. The PUT is out of money and will not be assigned. OK.

2. If C < $5 and the PUT get assigned early, we pay $5 for C shares. The CALL will still have some time value e.g. $0.10 or $0.20. So net gain will be more than original target of $0.73. OK.

3. If C is at $5, no action needed. OK.

4. If broker requests us to return C shares early ( not sure whether they have this right or not ).

a) If C is > $5, we exercise our option at $5 and return C share to broker. We Buy back the PUT position which by now will be very cheap. So will be in the money but slightly less than $0.73. OK.

b) If C is < $5 but > $3.75, we need to buy from market at less than $5 (additional saving) and return to broker to cover Shorts. The CALL will have increase in value and the PUT reduce in value. We will Sell the CALL options and Buy back the PUT options. So end result is we will make more than original target of $0.73. OK.

c) If C is < $3.75, we need to buy from market at less than $3.75 (additional saving) and return to broker to cover Shorts. The PUT when bought are in-the-money PUT, so as the share price dropped, likely the PUT will increase in the same amount or slightly lower (assume volatility about the same). The cheaper amount we pay for buying back the shares from open market, can offset the cost increase to Buy back the PUT. The CALL price (bought at $0.48) will reduce. So net profit may be slightly less than the targeted $0.73. OK.

d) If C is = $5, we buy from open market to cover the Shorts. Then Sell the CALL and Buy back the PUT. The price of the CALL should be about equal to the price of PUT. OK.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Free money from Citi share+option combo setup appeared again today !

Was out for 2 weeks. No major trades over that period.

Today most banks share price dropped while Citi share price increased.

Citi is the largest shorted share in the open market, about 1.2 billion shares shorted. It is about 4 times the 2nd largest shorted share SPY (about 300 million shares shorted). Citi price has been on the increase over the past 2 weeks, so likely most of the pure shorties (no option protections) are rushing to buy in to cover their short positions. So C will likely to continue to rise this week until a few days after Citi announce their earnings this Friday.


The free money from Citi scenario appeared again today! Tried to setup a 5,000 positions on that combo to check out margin requirement and plan to increase it to much larger quantity after that.

Steps are :
1. Short Sell C at market price $4.41 (collect money)
2. Sell June PUT option strike price $5 for $2.30 (collect money)
3. Buy June CALL option strike price $5 for $0.81 (pay money)
Total net money collect is $5.90 ($4.41 + $2.30 - $0.81).
The option setup enable us to buy C at $5.00 by expiry June.
So net free money per unit is $0.90 (i.e. for each share shorted + option positions created).

Surprised to find that the queue for Short Sell at Market Price did not get executed. It normally happen instantly for Market Price orders.

Went in to check my Broker website for Shares Available to short and found that there is non available to loan to short for C (on 20-Mar-09 there were 2 million shares availalbe !).

Sigh..... gone ahead and cancel the Short Sell order for C. Checked out a few other bank shares for similar opportunity but none have such a big price divergence situation.

Wednesday, April 1, 2009

Fund C & D Account Balance 1-Apr-09

Fund C (11.8% gain in about 2 months, within goal of 5% to 10% per month)
Net Asset = $22,356.
Cash On-hand = $25,295.







Fund D (21.3% gain in about 2 months, within goal of 5% to 10% per month)
Net Asset = $121,345.
Cash On-hand = $128,017.

Friday, March 27, 2009

What is Synthetic Position ?

A synthetic LONG position is created by selling an out-of-money PUT and buying an out-of-money CALL.
A synthetic SHORT position is created by selling an out-of-money CALL and buying an out-of-money PUT.

E.g. Synthetic LONG Position The idea is to use the money collected from selling the PUT to buy the CALL option. You basically create a LONG position fairly much like a Stock position with zero upfront payment. The time-decay on the PUT sold will compensate for the time-decay on the CALL.

E.g. Synthetic SHORT position
25-Mar-09
Wed (expecting UBS price to drop)
Created 30 contracts of synthetic SHORT positions on UBS when the share price was $11.21.
STO 30x UBS-Apr-$12.50-CALL at $0.70 (collected $2,100)
BTO 30x UBS-Apr-$10.00-PUT at $0.70 (paid $2,100)
For Sold leg (i.e. the CALL option), we placed STOP-LOSS order for protection and LIMIT order for Profit-Taking.
If share price at expiry Fri stays within $10 to $12.50, both legs will expire worthless.
If share price drops before expiry, we can make money. If share price is below $10 at expiry, we made money.
If share price increases before expiry, we can lose money. If share price is above $12.50 at expiry, we lose money.








27-Mar-09
Fri (UBS share price dropped as expected)
UBS at $9.91 now. Instead of waiting for the sold CALL position to reach 80% (at $0.14) of max potential profit (at $0.70), we manually closed the CALL position (at $0.25) when profit reached 65% of max potential profit. And we closed the PUT position (at $1.10) as well which is already 57% in profit. Closed the positions because the risk/reward ratio has skewed significantly due to deep in-the-money.









BTC
30x UBS-Apr-$12.50-CALL at $1.10 profited $1,329 (65%)
STC 30x UBS-Apr-$10.00-PUT at $0.25 profited $1,188 (57%)
Total profit $2,517.

One of the main advantage of synthetic position is we are "neutral" to time decay. This can be very useful if we create position with far far out expiry-date.

Saturday, March 21, 2009

Fund C & D Account Balance 21-Mar-09

Fund C
Net Asset = $21,387.
Cash On-hand = $24,702.





Fund D
Net Asset = $116,362.
Cash On-hand = $105,677.

Friday, March 20, 2009

FREE money from Citi share+option combo setup

A short time window of opportunity opened up last night (for about 30 minutes).

We can short sell C at $3.35 and collect the money upfront. Then create an option setup guranteed that we can buy back the share (to return to Broker) by June at an "effective" cost of $2.44 only.

Which means by June, you get to keep $0.91 per share (totally Free and almost no risk).... regardless of what C share price is from now till June.

Check with Broker at that time they have 2.6M shares available for people to borrow and short. Could have potentially make some good money due to this significant divergence in prices (very rarely occur).


Rephrased in simplar term.
C share price is at $3.35
Jun-Strike-$5-CALL was at $0.34
Jun-Strike-$5-PUT was at $2.90
We will Buy a CALL and Sell a PUT to create the synthetic position to enable us to Buy C share at $5 in the future.

Short Sell C shares at $3.35 and collect $3.35 per share.
Create synthetic position on C using options that guranteed us to Buy C share at $5 from now till June expiry Fri.
By creating the synthetic position on C, we collect a net of $2.56 (i.e. $2.90 from Sell PUT minus $0.34 cost of Buy CALL).
So total we collected upfront is $5.91 (i.e. $3.35 from Short Sell C shares plus $2.56 net proceed from the synthetic C options).
By June expiry Friday, regardless of C share price we are obligted to Buy share at $5 due to the synthetic position.
Once Bought at $5 we return the share to the broker.

Net result is we get to keep the $0.91 per share regardless of what price C share is at that time.
(The CALL gives us the right to buy at $5 if C climb above $5. The PUT makes us obligated to buy at $5 if C drop below $5).

Our final synthesized C net cost is $5 + $0.34 - $2.90 = $2.44 only vs current market C share price of $3.35

Same as above but more wordy.

An opportunity appeared tonight for 'almost unlimited" profit over a 1 to 3 months with almost zero risk due to significant divergence in prices.

Citi was at around $3.35.

An opportunity presented itself by using options (either this Apr or June) to create a synthetic position for C with a much lower cost than the actual share price.
e.g. for Apr contract the synthetic cost is $2.82 and for Jun it is only $2.44. But the actual C share price was at $3.35.

So the plan was to Open a synthetic position which cost $2.44 (e.g. for Jun) using Options and simultaneously Naked Short Sell C share at $3.35 at current market price. For each combination created we keep $0.91 !!

If we Short Sell 1,000,000 share of C and create a synthetic position for 10,000 contracts we get to keep upfront $910,000. By Jun expiry Fri, we keep this entire $910,000 regardless of what price C ended up with.

You can actually create as many positions as you want !!

By the time we check with US broker and find out all the details on whether naked short sell is allow, how long can we hold the short positions, what's the share borrowing cost if any, etc...... Citi price has moved down to $2.80 now and the opportunity is already gone. What a pity. Will try next time....when such opportunity arise again.

This is how to create that C synthetic position for $2.44.
Jun-Strike-$5.00-CALL was at $0.34
Jun-Strike-$5.00-PUT was at $2.90
We will Buy a CALL and Sell a PUT.
At end of June whether C is above or below $5.00, we have to buy the share at $5.
(The CALL gives us the right to buy at $5 if C climb above $5. The PUT makes us obligated to buy at $5 if C drop below $5).
So our synthesized C cost is $5 + $0.34 - $2.90 = $2.44 only vs market C share price of $3.35

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Fund D Account Balance

Fund D
Net Asset = $95,463.
Cash On-hand = $105,678.

Fund D - Selling LEAP PUT for C

Interesting Setup and Transaction on LEAP PUT for C

2-Mar-09
STO long term LEAP options
STO 200 contracts C-Jan-2011-$2.50-PUT for $1.58. Collected $31,600.

In about 2 years time,
if C stays above $2.50 we keep 100% profit of $31,600.

If C stays above $0.92 we will profit.
If C stays at $0.92 we break-even.
If C stays below $0.92 we will lose money.
Worst case if C bankrupted (which US government wil
l avoid at all cost), we lose $0.92 each i.e. a total of $18,400.
Not a bad deal as we plan to win max $31,600 but loss max $18,400.

13-Mar-09
Surprise thing happened today. Someone exercised their PUT option and we got assigned 125 contracts i.e. 12,500 C shares. At that time C share price is at $1.80.

Which means we paid $2.50 to buy these 12,500 shares but current market value is only $1.80. So by having to buy the shares we lose $0.70 each. But we have already collected $1.58 upfront when we sold the options on 2-Mar-09. So for each share our immediate net gain is $0.88 (i.e. $1.58 minus $0.70).
If we sell C immediate at $1.80 at market price now the gain will be a total of $11,000 ( i.e. $0.88 x 12,500). That is pretty good profit.

It is our initial belief that C will cross or stay at $2.50 in about 2 years time. If someday we can sell C share at $2.50, then we will be able to realize the max profit target of per unit of $1.58 which is a total of $19,750 (i.e. $1.58 x 12,500).

With this belief, instead of selling off the 12,500 C shares at $1.80 and closed out, we decided to Sell covered CALL for current month with Strike of $2.50. And will continue to do so on a monthly basis until it get exercised at $2.50 (resulting in max profit of $19,750). This covered CALL provides additional monthly income along the way. The Risk is if C drops a lot in price, we will incur paper-loss along the way, which is ok because these Shares (not Options) have no expiry date. Our time horizon is 2 years. Or we can close out earlier along the way and lock-in the profit if we want to.

STO current month option 125 contracts covered CALL on C.
STO 125 contracts of C-Mar-2009-$2.50-CALL at $0.067 and collected $837.




STO another 25 LEAP contracts to round up the balance 75 LEAP contract to a total of 100 contracts. Average cost for this 100 contracts is now at $1.6098.
STO 25 contracts C-Jan-2011-$2.50-PUT (total collected for the 100 contracts is $16,098).

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Fund C & D Account Balance 28-Feb-09

Fund C
Net Asset = $16,030.
Cash On-hand = $26,030.







Fund D
Net Asset = $74,586.
Cash On-hand = $129,031.

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Fund D Update @ 21-Feb-09 after Expiry Friday

Realized P&L of about -$21,908.
Unrealized P&L of about -$11,577.
Net Asset = $80,605.
Cash On-hand = $98,595.

BIG MISTAKE : failure to protect Unrealized profit as of last Fri +10,151 leading this week major Realized losses. Right strategy but Trader's mistake.

DETAILS :-

Final week of Feb-09 option month.

BAC and C dropped drastically over fear of "nationalization" of some major US banks. Market was trying to read into Bernanke's speech "we will keep the banks or return the banks to private sector.......". The phrase "return the banks" have been interpreted by market as possible nationalization of US major banks.

Option Expiry Friday today.
Expected short sellers have to cover their position in the afternoon after the past 4 days of heavy short sellings. Waited for the US traders to be back from lunch to cover their short positions but have to cut loss at around 1:00am as our losses have hit threshold level. After 1:30pm, all those fat traders came back from lunch, BAC and C moved up sharply as expected to happen on typical Friday option expiry day as they have to cover their short positions. Sigh.

Fund D unrealized profit was +$10K as of last Friday. Goal was for it to hit at least 80% ($12K) of target maximum profit ($15K). Should not have left the +$10K unrealized profit on the table for a potential profit of only incremental $2K only..... the risk/reward ratio have shifted so much already. BIG mistake and we closed out this week with an overall realized negative profit of -$22K.

Made several very bad mistakes of typical newbie option trader (sigh, a $10K+$22K lesson). Maybe should fire the Trader... guessed he will definitely remember this well going forward).

Major Mistakes
1. Too much focus on 80% profit target of maximum potential profit.
2. Failure to protect already in-the-money "unrealized profit". This is as good as CASH !
3. Removed auto stop-loss and get into manual mode. Stop-loss could have been at -$15K but turned into -$22K instead.

Very expensive but valuable lessons learnt today. Need to revisit "Protect the in-money unrealized profit" and "Stop-Loss" strategy.

Notes : Gold price cross $1,000 today. Dow crossed below the lowest low since 1997.
Washington spokesman said more details will be provided next week regarding the possibility of nationalization of bank.

Saturday, February 14, 2009

Fund C Update @ 14-Feb-09

Unrealized P&L of about +$162.
Net Asset = $24,185.
Cash On-hand = $22,187.

Net Asset increased from last week $23.1K to $24.2K.
1 more week to Expiry Friday 20-Feb.